Cannabis Equities Fallout: Health Canada Still Sandbagging Good Growers

Article by Braden Maccke, Cannabis Life Network

CANNABIS EQUITIES FALLOUT: HEALTH CANADA STILL SANDBAGGING GOOD GROWERS BRADEN MACCKEMARCH 6, 2020 BUSINESSCANNABIS CANADACANNABIS LEGALIZATIONCANNABIS NEWSCANOPY GROWTHCANOPY STOCK PRICEFEATUREDMARIJUANA LEGALIZATIONMARIJUANA NEWS

News broke Wednesday that Canopy Growth Corp. (TSX:WEED)(NYSE:CGC) would be shuttering operations in Aldergrove and Delta, B.C., laying off an estimated 500 workers.

Canopy’s layoffs are the latest, and largest, in a rash of cost-cutting measures that have swept through the legal cannabis industry in recent months. The company reported a $1.5 billion cash balance at the end of December, causing CLN to point out that the cannabis giant was one of few licensed producers with the resources to fine tune its facilities into producers of cannabis of a competitive grade. It turns out that, at least in British Columbia, Canopy wasn’t interested.

The company press release focused on the “optimization” of their cultivation footprint, and noted that the Health Canada licensing of outdoor grows followed the company’s build-out of their B.C. greenhouses, implying that their since-commissioned outdoor operations will be able to replace the shuttered B.C. indoor production. Furthermore, Health Canada’s May 2019 licensing of outdoor cannabis production came as a surprise to the country’s largest cannabis company.

CLN continues to maintain that Canopy’s story is best told through their inventory profile. The company’s steady growth in un-finished inventory and flat sales curve seems to indicate that the majority of the company’s greenhouse yield is unsaleable or, at least, the company hasn’t yet found a form in which it will sell. Efforts to move the cannabis as extracts or edibles haven’t yet begun in earnest for Canopy Growth either, and the company delayed the launch of its much-anticipated line of cannabis-based beverages in January.

Canopy didn’t say so in their press release, but the company’s surrogates in the securities world haven’t been shy about blaming grey market growers for their inability to move units at a volume that compliments their cultivation footprint.

Canopy forecasts a $700 – $800 million write-down from the shuttering of the operations terminated Wednesday, putting a price on the difference in the properties’ book value and their actual value, and giving us another opportunity to explain how, exactly, this corporate giant managed to convince investors to put up that much money up to back a high-tech ditch-weed facility.

Manufactured Scarcity

Canada’s contemporary marijuana legislation, the ACMPR, kicked into high gear in 2016, following a federal court ruling that the government must provide framework that gives Canadians access to medical marijuana. At the time, Tweed Inc. was sitting on ACMPR license number five, having received it in 2013. The months that followed saw intense speculation in the stock of Canadian companies who had applied for, or planned to apply for, licenses to grow medical cannabis in Canada. Facilitated by a banking industry that was all too happy to further support the distribution, Canadians started an equity-speculation boom that would carry on for three years. At the core of the investment thesis was the fact that marijuana grew on trees, but the licenses needed to grow it didn’t.

By the end of 2016, HEXO’s third licensed site had become the 38th government-sanctioned marijuana producer in the country. At the end of 2017, there were 82 separate licenses, and 142 by the end of 2018.

The expensive, time-consuming process of attaining a Health Canada cultivation license was a barrier to entry that the capital markets were very happy to exploit. The concept of “funded capacity” became a standard metric. Business consulting firm Deloitte was estimated in 2018 that the Canadian recreational cannabis market would do between $1.8 and $4.3 billion in gross sales in 2019, and the capital markets were all too happy to own one of the 142 exclusive producers, secure in the knowledge that competition was still a long way off.

Read the full article here.

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